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A Strategic Assessment of Telecommunication Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach
ABSTRACT
The study investigated the dynamic relationship between telecommunication infrastructure and
economic growth, using data from twenty-four low income, middle income and high income
countries, including Nigeria for a 18 years period, from 1985– 2003. With a panel data set, this
study used dynamic fixed effect and random effect models for estimation, which allowed us to test
the relationship between country’s economic growth with initial economic condition, fixed
investment, population growth, government consumption as well as telecommunication
infrastructure. It was interesting to note that the results showed that telecommunication is both
statistically significant and positively correlated to the real GDP per capita of these countries
included in the study. The results were robust even after controlling for investment, population
growth, past level of GDP per capita and lagged growth. The results further indicated that the
telecommunication investment is subject to increasing returns, suggesting that countries gain
more and more with the increase in telecommunication investment. The second test, Granger’s
causality test confirmed the causal relationship between telecommunication infrastructure and
economic growth, but the relationship is significant from telecommunication to GDP per capita
side but insignificant on GDP per capita to telecommunication development side.
KEYWORDS: Telecommunication, Infrastructure, Economic Growth, Low Income,
Middle Income, High Income, Countries, Real GDP Per Capita, Nigeria
AKPAN, E. Ebenezer, Ph.D
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